Sunday, April 26, 2009

Why This is worse than the GREAT DEPRESSION

So many people consider this as the great bull run and i saw the EW prediction of 15 year super bull run(which i seriously doubt ).What are we talking about here ...will growth be so great? but interesting call though by EWI .But anyway cant rule it out coz anything can happen...we have seen Nikkie or the dow (from 1987 to 2000)...

But there can be another scenario building up which is that the great depression 2 which would be much worse than version 1.0. Debt will have to be returned.Economies may collapse which has just begun.the next 4 years are going to be very interesting coz there is a convergence of many time cycles around 2010 to 2012... Btw in this period Gold can explode to new highs ...lets see that is is what history says ...in this period it could go up 2x 3x times from current levels

I will try to post some articles...to be continued



World Bank: Economic crisis turning into calamity



http://finance.yahoo.com/news/World-Bank-Economic-crisis-apf-15036373.html?sec=topStories&pos=6&asset=&ccode=

I think there are two places where SNP can bottom out 600 or worst case 450 region if that happens u can imagine what will happen to our index or say any index.

Monday, March 30, 2009

Just a Quick Note on the BOTTOM


When everyone is calling for a bottom is it a bottom.I believe right now this market is bottomless till Fear of major declines reduces.Do u see major index stocks in a free fall .So next time someone says bottom is in think again .Posting the chart of the great depression .IT went from 400 to 40 in a few years.So thought learning from history is good but Return of CAPITAL IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN RETURN ON CAPITAL.

Sunday, March 29, 2009

WILL the GREENBACK crush other markets

Is the Euro zone in real trouble ...has the debasing war of currencies started ...


some good articles coming soon!!!

Friday, March 27, 2009

Could it is be a rally before a Collapse



You can judge for yourself .Time will tell if this was a real thing or sucker rally

GE Going to be 2$ soon

Also check this link which i found very interesting

http://www.safehaven.com/article-12879.htm


ALSO

http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/2009/03/03.html

http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/01/13/short-sellers-lay-down-big-bet-against-ge?icid=sphere_blogsmith_inpage_bloggingstocks

http://seekingalpha.com/article/106445-general-electric-genuine-risk-of-collapse

http://market-ticker.denninger.net/uploads/ge.jpg


SO CHARTS DONT LIE

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Are You a good Trader

Their are four (5) major qualities a good trader must posses to succeed in the market

(1) Emotional and Psychological Discipline
(2) Sound Money Management Strategy
(3) Good Trading Strategy
(4) Strong Passion For Trading and Learning from others mistakes
(5) Strong intuitive ability to think before majority of them

Human beings have emotions , fear , greed, revenge and pride.When these things go out of control we make mistakes.If these emotions are not put into check being a good trader is very very tough.


M Mgmt strategies are a must when one is trading.This is the single most factor which can change desired outcome.For example lets say u have 100 bucks what would be your stop in a trade?
when u loose 10% to break even u need to gain 11%
Loose 30% u need to make 50% to break even
u loose 50% u need to make up 100% to break even

So cut ur losses when something has not gone your way.It also means when ur right try to make the most of it and when your wrong try to minimise how much you loose.

Good trading strategy----Lot of people ask me whats your strategy and what software you use.
Sure software helps but it also depends on how comfy you are with the software.You need to be accurate with ur observations and you should have some non conventional indicators to tell you that u can short or go long .It requires time and practice to achieve this( NOT easy at all).


On top of all of that – don't be so blinking emotional !
    Don't get excited when your pips are mounting.
    Don't be proud after closing a great trade.
    Don't revenge trade when you lose.
    Don't get angry if you miss an opportunity.
    Don't anxiously try to earn some money with each trade.
    Don't hope for too much and ...
    ... don't regret too deeply.




Will continue with some more on this topic .......






Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Why people dont sell and Buy in BEAR trend like they do Buy and sell in Bull trend

An important Q ? Do u like to buy and sell only or u look for short selling also...?

The human mind is a funny thing.People see the obvious way of making money BUY and then SELL .Not everyone can do the reverse.If you see a seller is always smart and alert when compared to a normal buyer.Most people who do the regular buying are somehow attached to
the company in some way.They think of something and buy and wont sell even when it is time to sell.This kinda behaviour is not seen with a seller.And sellers dont have time to sell and hold they know they have to make their logic look good .Take a case of Lnt why did it go up so much and why did go down so much if all those guys invested in that company are long term.How many people came out witha sell report when the bull market was on? now everyone wants to rush and sell.Really weird logic !!!If you look at normal business are built around perception and hope and loads of emotions.When the hope or the story is shaken it changes the emotion and the sentiment.The important things which drive the market are emotion and sentiment.

It took 5 years to build the bull mkt and it took 1 year to nuke that .A lot of so people talk about economy and numbers and crisis what not .Do people talk about how much they made or lost in this phase of so called bull bear fight?Lots of people who talk all this are on the buy side so where are the sellers? Sellers have a low profile always .Is it like the smart keep shut and the dumb make noise all the time.Seller is always like waiting for his move like a tiger waiting for his target
to strike at the right time unlike the buyer who jumps to buy in greed of making less in the move.Seller waits for the his turn to pound mercylessly.

BTW i wanted to ask you if your a short seller when do u short ? do you short when mkt is going down or short when all is good and green.We sell because we PANIC, which blinds us and we fail to comprehend that there is a limit down to where prices can go. We forget that markets always give another chance. We sell because we think that it is our last chance to exit and save the last paise we have left to salvage.

Have you ever wondered what is VALUE ?
The market doesnt see what is value and what is not it rises or gets pounded.Everyone says buy and hold.But seller never says sell and hold .There is a time to buy and selling at sometime completes the transaction.

so if you know how to sell you will know how to buy also.Dont listen to fools to tell you what to do so called analyst on CNBC. Make your own game plan and execute it.


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