Thursday, July 30, 2009

IS THE WHOLE GREEN AGAIN

So everyone is partying eh...new bull market is on and what not ...dont listen to bad news jump for the good news ...everyone will be rich is the mantra as long term story intact...it is too much green isnt it ...all markets going to the moon is the avg joe saying ...it could be as there is so much liquidity into the system.

But somethign not right happening in the currencies .If dollor tanks everyone knows how gold will go to the moon theory.But how can everyone become rich? is the market a genie to be kind to grant u free money.Brokers will tell you 1000 reason to buy.

But the fact remains...US UK japan record level debts/ who is paying for all this ?

Any coming to technical setup ...$ is the bearish ...but i think it is bullish(till 78 or 74 in the USD index breaks) But i think it wont and but 2011 it could rocket to 100+ say 106 .now if that happens what will happen to asia and commodities ...

SOme patterns are emerging and it shows mkts like Nikkie are still making lower lows ...and there is activity in yen too...so are all european mkts ....

Our own index too ...may be we are in a bull market who knows liquidity can do strange things but what if this is the worst bear mkt like 1929... where the index lost 90% fromt he top

Sensex 90% from the top(which is possible with 2010 cycle 2012 being an imporant period ) ...i dont know people cant imagine that i think ...but for all this need some triggers to play out ....everyone loves china ....or say chinindia ....too bullish i think.

I think there is every chance that it go go either way sensex going to moon say 1lkh with EWI predicting that ...but cant rule out the other scenario ...things plunging 90%
Even if someone gets in at 21k he would make 5 times right in 10 years ...still pretty good returns ....but this is really publicized target...Need to think contra way also

Till then lets see what are the trigger which really move things ...like in march quant easing led to a massive rally across the board

Adios

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

OPTIONS

Sunday, April 26, 2009

Why This is worse than the GREAT DEPRESSION

So many people consider this as the great bull run and i saw the EW prediction of 15 year super bull run(which i seriously doubt ).What are we talking about here ...will growth be so great? but interesting call though by EWI .But anyway cant rule it out coz anything can happen...we have seen Nikkie or the dow (from 1987 to 2000)...

But there can be another scenario building up which is that the great depression 2 which would be much worse than version 1.0. Debt will have to be returned.Economies may collapse which has just begun.the next 4 years are going to be very interesting coz there is a convergence of many time cycles around 2010 to 2012... Btw in this period Gold can explode to new highs ...lets see that is is what history says ...in this period it could go up 2x 3x times from current levels

I will try to post some articles...to be continued



World Bank: Economic crisis turning into calamity



http://finance.yahoo.com/news/World-Bank-Economic-crisis-apf-15036373.html?sec=topStories&pos=6&asset=&ccode=

I think there are two places where SNP can bottom out 600 or worst case 450 region if that happens u can imagine what will happen to our index or say any index.

Monday, March 30, 2009

Just a Quick Note on the BOTTOM


When everyone is calling for a bottom is it a bottom.I believe right now this market is bottomless till Fear of major declines reduces.Do u see major index stocks in a free fall .So next time someone says bottom is in think again .Posting the chart of the great depression .IT went from 400 to 40 in a few years.So thought learning from history is good but Return of CAPITAL IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN RETURN ON CAPITAL.

Sunday, March 29, 2009

WILL the GREENBACK crush other markets

Is the Euro zone in real trouble ...has the debasing war of currencies started ...


some good articles coming soon!!!

Friday, March 27, 2009

Could it is be a rally before a Collapse



You can judge for yourself .Time will tell if this was a real thing or sucker rally

GE Going to be 2$ soon

Also check this link which i found very interesting

http://www.safehaven.com/article-12879.htm


ALSO

http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/2009/03/03.html

http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/01/13/short-sellers-lay-down-big-bet-against-ge?icid=sphere_blogsmith_inpage_bloggingstocks

http://seekingalpha.com/article/106445-general-electric-genuine-risk-of-collapse

http://market-ticker.denninger.net/uploads/ge.jpg


SO CHARTS DONT LIE