Friday, October 30, 2009

HAS IT STARTED ALREADY


GREED AND FEAR....THE NEXT 15 months or more will be somethign like this.Now A you can take precuations and prepare for the worst .Once your prepared for the worst you worry less.As for Bears IT IS PARTY TIME STARTING

BUT I DONT THINK IT HAS BEGUN YET IT SHOULD MAKE A NEW HIGH TO START THINGS >..the current scenario loosk too easy so expect a recovery say 5 or 6% rally straight away.LETS SEE

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Astrology does it work in markets

Lots of people laugh at astrology and just shrug it off.It is jsut like another indicator accroding to me.The funda about business and markets is cycles..History teaches us things can repeat coz it si human nature which doesnt change.The mood swings of the crowd.Why very few do well in business and markets is that they dont listen to others.Even if someone si saying somethign they look for the reason.If some guy is saying something the smart chap always thinks is it possible or not and then cut through the crap.People say speculation plays a major role and it si a all cheating game.No it is isnt just like poker you have to call the hand , if your wrong then u lose but if call it right then you win.If everything was going right mkts will always move up and never move down.There is nothing called short term or long term investment.It is the risk someone is ready to take coz eveyrone in this business is here to make money.

Astrology is also a science of stufying the patterns of mood swing recurrence. But it also depends how well you use them.It is just not predicting this plannet will do this or do that.It is a math jsut like people use Fibonacci.

I read this stupid article in which the author says markets are all about fundamentals and technicals....would love to ask him one what basis he based his assumptions.People assume that PE and other ratios are the exact way to buy somethign and sell...that doesnt move things not results not some crazy announcement the bets are always placed before that.Just like art of WAR : EVERY WAR IS WON BEFORE IT IS FAUGHT.Technicals is so vast that it is tough o say it is always a function of trendline and what not.The variables are really many but one should check what works for them and try to see the accuracy.

SOON THIS WILL BE THE SCENARIO

Sunday, October 25, 2009

Do people really understand what we are up against!!!!

GREED and FEAR.The problem is people dont understand what is fear now .Our is far more connected that it was in the previous 100 years.We have had the mother of all bear rallys.And 99% of the people say it si abull market.Bull markets in the last 100 years or more are never born out of optimism.Something big is coming and we cant see.The govt interventions....evern the govt thinks they have this one great tool of liquidity which can save things..If there is hysteria to buy there can be hysteria to sell to get out...I still keep thinking why si Robert Pechter says casha nd cash equivalents.What could be that bad.Trying my best to work on the timing cycles just like Gann did in and told that 1932 july would be the bottom of the index DJIA. Only man to tell before it happened i guess .Did nt have any computers.He must have foudn the master cycle.People say you cant time the market.I rememb er this famous line from the movie : Persuit of happiness. when the man tells his kid : people tell u it cannot be done coz they can do it.It is possible to time the market but very very rare and few people can do.if everyone can do it they will be stinking rich.

So coming back to the topic....can the govt really save and distribute cash like jim cary did in Bruce almighty.I would say atleast if ur still skeptical about being bearish after this rally you should have some cash to prtect yourself . 45% cash atleast to compensate if there is a selling hysteria in the coming months .Still the trigger isnt there....Earnigns dont move markets it is totaly myth.

We are ina time when things can provide a great entry point ./...question is When....???

Monday, October 19, 2009

IS IT TIME TO START THE NEXT GREAT DECLINE


EXPECTING A NEWS TO START THE NEXT LEG DOWN ...certainly wont be 5 10% move but more

Saturday, October 17, 2009

APPLE REPORTS EARNINGS ON MONDAY

DO results really matter ...it is socionomics i guess....and cycles
Chances are that APPLE gives some negative news is high ...i can be wrong but lets see .predicting individual stocks is a bit tough though but lets see below 190 problem for APPLE

Personally i think sucha growth stock will take a heavy beating if nasdaq is going to crash again to say as bad as 40 to 60$ by the end of this bear market ....but in mkts crazy things can happen

Friday, October 16, 2009

USD IS IT REALLY BEARISH REALLY !!!!!!!





DEFLATION IS THE REALLY PROBLEM $ IS GOING TO HAVE ONE MEGA RALLY UP . YEA BELOW 74 really $ may crash and it aint going stop crash if that happens.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

SOME PREDICTIONS FOR 2010

2010 year i think may be a historic year...it coincides with lots of cycles...US generation cycle


Can Us go for a split like a stock....that is what someone has predicted....you can go to you tube and find out...where the guy says US split into 6 parts...well i cant predict something like that it is too tough...but yea they are creating the biggest mess in the world for sure.

Ok in the coming year these are few thigns in my list which can come true or may be not...at present it is totally crazy levels which i see :

1. GOLD -540$ ,SILVER 6to 7$
2Crude 17 $
3.SNP500 --- 190....will asia still outperform lets see (major bottom for asia i think)

So lets find out......i would not be changing this post ....if i am wrong then who cares btu what if this comes true. Idea should be hope for the best prepare for the worst.

But chances are high still for a super crash. Why not we have had a mother of all bear rallys why can be the mother of all crashes....Robert pretcher has has been saying similar things. "we could buy 10 times the quantity of what we can buy now"

So lets find out ....

Sunday, October 11, 2009

NAT GAS SOMETHING BUILDING UP HERE

So it made the big bottom around Sept 8 talk about timing the mkts that is how it is done

Anyway chances are high that a sharp pullback possible here....say to around 3.9 or 3 by NOV2

so we have very less time but after that it is goign to shoot up like a rocket 3.2 is a good entry

for 1 year vie wi am sure money can be made on long side with ease...new will follow but it is lookign suerbullish if it tanks to 3$ adn can go to 9$ with ease